Table 1

Preliminary estimates of ozone- and heat-attributable deaths in England and Wales for combined years 2003, 2005 and 2006 using observed ozone heat-mortality relationships from Pattenden et al.[20] combined with simulated ozone concentrations and temperature from EMEP4UK.

Total deaths

Number and percentage (95% CI) of deaths attributable to:

ozone

Heat

Number

percent

Number

percent

All

596914

6798

1.1 (0.5 - 1.7)

5531

0.9 (0.8 - 1.1)

By Region:

North East

31890

318

1.0 (0.5 - 1.5)

42

0.1 (-0.0- 0.3)

North West

83766

817

1.0 (0.5 - 1.5)

1068

1.3 (1.1 - 1.5)

Yorks & Hum

58502

559

1.0 (0.4 - 1.4)

352

0.6 (0.4 - 0.8)

E Midland

49183

531

1.1 (0.5 - 1.6)

420

0.9 (0.7 - 1.0)

W Midland

61324

668

1.1 (0.5 - 1.6)

591

1.0 (0.8 - 1.1)

East

61166

735

1.2 (0.6 - 1.8)

316

0.5 (0.4 - 0.6)

London

62277

756

1.2 (0.6 - 1.8)

1202

1.9 (1.8 - 2.1)

S East

89979

1199

1.3 (0.6 - 2.0)

688

0.8 (0.7 - 0.9)

S West

61663

785

1.3 (0.6 - 1.9)

519

0.8 (0.7 - 1.0)

Wales

37164

429

1.2 (0.5 - 1.7)

333

0.9 (0.7 - 1.1)

By Population density:

Urban

394152

4492

1.1 (0.5 - 1.7)

4383

1.1 (0.9 - 1.3)

Other

202762

2306

1.1 (0.5 - 1.7)

1149

0.6 (0.4 - 0.7)

By Month:

May

126148

1912

1.5 (0.7 - 2.3)

79

0.1 (0.0 - 0.1)

June

117910

1478

1.3 (0.6 - 1.9)

683

0.6 (0.4 - 0.7)

July

119909

1311

1.1 (0.5 - 1.6)

2717

2.3 (1.9 - 2.7)

August

119056

1142

1.0 (0.5 - 1.4)

1963

1.6 (1.4 - 1.9)

September

113891

956

0.8 (0.4 - 1.3)

89

0.1 (0.1 - 0.1)

By Temperature:

<92nd centile

481556

4770

1.0 (0.5 - 1.5)

0

0.0 (0.0 - 0.0)

92nd-99th centile

92109

1516

1.6 (0.8 - 2.5)

2337

2.5 (1.9 - 3.2)

> = 99th centile

19168

512

2.7 (1.3 - 4.0)

3195

16.7 (14.9- 18.5)

Doherty et al. Environmental Health 2009 8(Suppl 1):S8   doi:10.1186/1476-069X-8-S1-S8