Table 3

Recent Studies Identifying Vulnerable Subgroups of Mortality from High Ambient Temperature

Reference
Study location
Study design
Exposure
Causes of death
Result

Baccini 2008 [12]
15 European cities, April-September 1990-2000 (5-11 years depending on data availability for city)
Time-series
Maximum apparent temperature (threshold 29.4°C Mediterranean cities and 23.3°C north-continental cities)
Daily all-cause mortality
Respiratory diseases among 75+ years

Basu and Ostro 2008 [14]
9 California counties, May to September 1999-2003
Case-crossover
Mean daily apparent temperature
Cause-specific mortality; all-cause mortality by age, race/ethnicity, gender, education level
Cardiovascular, higher specifically for ischemic heart disease, myocardial infarction, and congestive heart failure, ≤ 1 year, ≤ 5 years, elderly, Black race, out of hospital death; no elevated risks for cerebrovascular, diabetes, respiratory; no difference by gender or high school graduation

Bell 2008 [15]
Sao Paulo, Brazil, Santiago, Chile and Mexico City, Mexico, 1998-2002
Case-crossover
Same day apparent temperature
Daily all-cause mortality
65+ years, women in Mexico City, but men in Santiago and Sao Paulo, less educated in Sao Paulo

Ishigami 2008 [24]
Budapest, London and Milan, 2003
Time-series
Mean daily temperature (lag0 and lag1), PM10 (TSP in Budapest), ozone
Daily all-cause mortality
Increased age, females 65+ years greater risk in London and Milan and non-elderly adults in Milan; mortality from external causes, respiratory and cardiovascular diseases

Stafoggia 2008 [30]
4 Italian cities, 1997-2004
Case-crossover
Apparent temperature 30°C compared to 20°C
Deaths in hospitals for those with 2+ days in hospital
Increased age, single general medicine compared to high and intensive care units, history of psychiatric disorders, cerebrovascular diseases, heart failure, stroke, chronic pulmonary diseases

Vaneckova 2008a [46]
Sydney, Australia, October to March 1993-2001
Time-series
Temporal Synoptic Index (TSI); ratio of highest 10% mortality days within air mass and % frequency of air mass occurrence
Daily all-cause mortality
65+ years, women

Yip 2008 [52]
Maricopa County, Arizona, June to September
2000-2005
Time-series
Heat index
Heat-related deaths
Young and old outdoors, but greater risk for elderly indoors

Hajat 2007 [25]
England and Wales,
1993-2003
Time-series
Heat (> 95th %) and cold (< 5th %) thresholds
All-cause mortality
Elderly, those in nursing care homes respiratory and external causes, women; not modified by deprivation in London

Medina-Ramon 2007 [21]
50 US cities in cold (November to March) and warm (May to September) seasons
Case-crossover
Binary variable as extreme temperature and continuous; ozone
All-cause and CVD mortality
Cities with milder summers, less air conditioning and higher population density

Diaz 2006 [35]
Madrid, January 1986-December 1997
Time-series
T(hwave) = Tmax-36.5C if Tmax>36.5C; 5th % to 95th % temperature, NO2
AR = (RR-1)/RR for daily mortality
Circulatory causes, males 45-64 years

Stafoggia 2006 [16]
Bologna, Milan, Rome, Turin, 1997-2003
Case-crossover
30°C mean apparent temperature (lag01) relative to 20°C; odds ratio
All-cause mortality and previous hospitalization
Increased age and greater for women, widows and widowers, psychiatric disorders, depression, heart and circulatory disorders

Hajat 2005 [48]
Delhi, Sao Paulo, London, January 1991-December 1994
Time-series
Daily temperature
(lag 0,1) greater than 20°C
Daily all-cause mortality
Respiratory deaths in Sao Paulo and London; children in Delhi

O'Neill, Zanobetti and Schwartz 2005 [37]
Chicago, Detroit, Minneapolis, Pittsburgh, 1988-1993 for Chicago and 1986-1993 for other cities
Time-series
Percent change daily mean temperature 29°C relative to 15°C (lag0), barometric pressure, day of the week, PM10
Mortality, prevalence of air conditioner (AC)
Black race, lack of air conditioner

Gouveia 2003 [33]
Sao Paulo, Brazil, 1991-1994
Time-series
Daily mean temperature (lag01), SO2, PM10, CO, O3, NO2, day of the week, season, humidity
Daily all-cause mortality, excluding violent deaths, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality
Greatest for 65+years and < 15 years, also increased for15-64 years; elderly cardiovascular, respiratory for adults and elderly; no modification by socioeconomic status

O'Neill 2003 [38]
7 US cities,
1986-1993
Time-series
Mean daily apparent temperature (% change 29°C and -5°C), PM10
Daily all-cause mortality, looking at effect modification by demographics & other variables
Black race, less educated, and outside hospital

Rainham and Smoyer-Tomic 2003 [42]
Toronto, May 1 to September 30, 1980-1996
Time-series
Humidex, CO, O3, NO2, SO2
Daily all-cause mortality
Females

Curriero 2002 [39]
11 Eastern US cities, 1973-1994
Time-series
Daily mean temperature, dew point temperature; minimum mortality temperature (MMT) range: 65.2-90.3
Daily all-cause mortality, excluding accidents
Higher latitude, more poverty, less air conditioning or heating

Basu Environmental Health 2009 8:40   doi:10.1186/1476-069X-8-40

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