Table 3 |
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Recent Studies Identifying Vulnerable Subgroups of Mortality from High Ambient Temperature |
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| Reference |
Study location |
Study design |
Exposure |
Causes of death |
Result |
|
|
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| Baccini 2008 [12] |
15 European cities, April-September 1990-2000 (5-11 years depending on data availability
for city) |
Time-series |
Maximum apparent temperature (threshold 29.4°C Mediterranean cities and 23.3°C north-continental
cities) |
Daily all-cause mortality |
Respiratory diseases among 75+ years |
|
|
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| Basu and Ostro 2008 [14] |
9 California counties, May to September 1999-2003 |
Case-crossover |
Mean daily apparent temperature |
Cause-specific mortality; all-cause mortality by age, race/ethnicity, gender, education
level |
Cardiovascular, higher specifically for ischemic heart disease, myocardial infarction,
and congestive heart failure, ≤ 1 year, ≤ 5 years, elderly, Black race, out of hospital
death; no elevated risks for cerebrovascular, diabetes, respiratory; no difference
by gender or high school graduation |
|
|
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| Bell 2008 [15] |
Sao Paulo, Brazil, Santiago, Chile and Mexico City, Mexico, 1998-2002 |
Case-crossover |
Same day apparent temperature |
Daily all-cause mortality |
65+ years, women in Mexico City, but men in Santiago and Sao Paulo, less educated
in Sao Paulo |
|
|
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| Ishigami 2008 [24] |
Budapest, London and Milan, 2003 |
Time-series |
Mean daily temperature (lag0 and lag1), PM10 (TSP in Budapest), ozone |
Daily all-cause mortality |
Increased age, females 65+ years greater risk in London and Milan and non-elderly
adults in Milan; mortality from external causes, respiratory and cardiovascular diseases |
|
|
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| Stafoggia 2008 [30] |
4 Italian cities, 1997-2004 |
Case-crossover |
Apparent temperature 30°C compared to 20°C |
Deaths in hospitals for those with 2+ days in hospital |
Increased age, single general medicine compared to high and intensive care units,
history of psychiatric disorders, cerebrovascular diseases, heart failure, stroke,
chronic pulmonary diseases |
|
|
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| Vaneckova 2008a [46] |
Sydney, Australia, October to March 1993-2001 |
Time-series |
Temporal Synoptic Index (TSI); ratio of highest 10% mortality days within air mass
and % frequency of air mass occurrence |
Daily all-cause mortality |
65+ years, women |
|
|
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| Yip 2008 [52] |
Maricopa County, Arizona, June to September 2000-2005 |
Time-series |
Heat index |
Heat-related deaths |
Young and old outdoors, but greater risk for elderly indoors |
|
|
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| Hajat 2007 [25] |
England and Wales, 1993-2003 |
Time-series |
Heat (> 95th %) and cold (< 5th %) thresholds |
All-cause mortality |
Elderly, those in nursing care homes respiratory and external causes, women; not modified
by deprivation in London |
|
|
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| Medina-Ramon 2007 [21] |
50 US cities in cold (November to March) and warm (May to September) seasons |
Case-crossover |
Binary variable as extreme temperature and continuous; ozone |
All-cause and CVD mortality |
Cities with milder summers, less air conditioning and higher population density |
|
|
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| Diaz 2006 [35] |
Madrid, January 1986-December 1997 |
Time-series |
T(hwave) = Tmax-36.5C if Tmax>36.5C; 5th % to 95th % temperature, NO2 |
AR = (RR-1)/RR for daily mortality |
Circulatory causes, males 45-64 years |
|
|
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| Stafoggia 2006 [16] |
Bologna, Milan, Rome, Turin, 1997-2003 |
Case-crossover |
30°C mean apparent temperature (lag01) relative to 20°C; odds ratio |
All-cause mortality and previous hospitalization |
Increased age and greater for women, widows and widowers, psychiatric disorders, depression,
heart and circulatory disorders |
|
|
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| Hajat 2005 [48] |
Delhi, Sao Paulo, London, January 1991-December 1994 |
Time-series |
Daily temperature (lag 0,1) greater than 20°C |
Daily all-cause mortality |
Respiratory deaths in Sao Paulo and London; children in Delhi |
|
|
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| O'Neill, Zanobetti and Schwartz 2005 [37] |
Chicago, Detroit, Minneapolis, Pittsburgh, 1988-1993 for Chicago and 1986-1993 for
other cities |
Time-series |
Percent change daily mean temperature 29°C relative to 15°C (lag0), barometric pressure,
day of the week, PM10 |
Mortality, prevalence of air conditioner (AC) |
Black race, lack of air conditioner |
|
|
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| Gouveia 2003 [33] |
Sao Paulo, Brazil, 1991-1994 |
Time-series |
Daily mean temperature (lag01), SO2, PM10, CO, O3, NO2, day of the week, season, humidity |
Daily all-cause mortality, excluding violent deaths, cardiovascular and respiratory
mortality |
Greatest for 65+years and < 15 years, also increased for15-64 years; elderly cardiovascular,
respiratory for adults and elderly; no modification by socioeconomic status |
|
|
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| O'Neill 2003 [38] |
7 US cities, 1986-1993 |
Time-series |
Mean daily apparent temperature (% change 29°C and -5°C), PM10 |
Daily all-cause mortality, looking at effect modification by demographics & other
variables |
Black race, less educated, and outside hospital |
|
|
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| Rainham and Smoyer-Tomic 2003 [42] |
Toronto, May 1 to September 30, 1980-1996 |
Time-series |
Humidex, CO, O3, NO2, SO2 |
Daily all-cause mortality |
Females |
|
|
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| Curriero 2002 [39] |
11 Eastern US cities, 1973-1994 |
Time-series |
Daily mean temperature, dew point temperature; minimum mortality temperature (MMT)
range: 65.2-90.3 |
Daily all-cause mortality, excluding accidents |
Higher latitude, more poverty, less air conditioning or heating |
|
|
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|
Basu Environmental Health 2009 8:40 doi:10.1186/1476-069X-8-40 |
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